Quarterly Insights
2023-03-13
2022 Q4 State of The Market
View our comprehensive analysis of recent market trends.
Market Highlights
- With supply now at 4.3% of the in-service fleet, the available inventory of modern, pre-owned business jets is more than double the low recorded in February 2022. While still less than half of the supply that is historically considered a balanced market, the increase in inventory is starting to challenge an increasingly fragile supply/demand environment
- Q4 experienced a 42% YOY decrease in transaction volume. More importantly, however, was the first recorded decrease in Q4 volume in comparison with the prior quarter since 2008
- With a correction in values underway, the predominant questions from most in the market are how much do values decline and how quickly do they move before equilibrium is again achieved
Market Value Trends
- Fleetwide, pre-owned modern jet values decreased by an average of -0.5% in Q4, the first quarter since the start of the pandemic in which average values declined
- Aircraft values remain up an average of 27.9% YOY, with some of the most popular aircraft models increasing by as much as 80% compared with their pre-pandemic values