Quarterly Insights
2021-03-01
2021 Q1 state of the market
View our comprehensive analysis of recent market trends.
Market Highlights
- Q1 transactions are up 35% year-over-year. In a market defined by low supply and modestly increasing values, the continued strength of demand across all segments has alleviated the concerns that the industry’s record setting Q4 transaction volume was a CARES Act driven anomaly.
- With supply down 28% over the past 6 months, the transaction activity in most modern, pre-owned business jet markets is constrained by a lack of quality supply rather than by a lack of prospective buyers
Market Values
- Large-cabin market values, down an average of 16% in the last half of 2020, have also seen the strongest rebound in 2021, with prices up an average of 5% year-to-date.
- Light-cabin market pricing, which was flat throughout 2020, has also increased 2% year-to-date.
- Low supply and strong demand across all market segments is likely to
result in stable pricing through the second quarter.
A Historic Pre-Owned Jet Market
- The above graph shows pre-owned business jet inventory as a percentage of fleet availability since 1986. Today’s total jet inventory availability of 7.2% is the lowest percentage in over 30 years.
- Q1, 2021 had the highest retail transaction volume of any Q1 in history and ranks 15th in total retail transaction volume of the 142 quarters ever documented.
- Record low supply, strong demand, and stable pricing have created a very favorable environment for aircraft sellers and one of the most challenging environment for buyers in the past decade.